Fri, Oct 2, 2009·Globe Arena, StockholmNeutral site
St. Louis Blues 4, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 17 | 38 | 08 | 423 |
| DET | 216 | 19 | 08 | 333 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:54STLJay McClementAssists: Brad Winchester · Slap, 0.16 xG1–0
- P1 10:42DETJonathan EricssonAssists: Kris Draper, Kirk Maltby · Tip-in, 0.39 xG1–1
- P1 14:01DETKirk MaltbySHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–2
- P2 7:17DETVille LeinoPPAssists: Daniel Cleary, Niklas Kronwall · Snap, 0.04 xG1–3
- P2 12:31STLPaul KariyaPPAssists: Andy McDonald, Keith Tkachuk · Slap, 0.05 xG2–3
- P2 14:39STLB.J. CrombeenAssists: Jay McClement · Backhand, 0.35 xG3–3
- P2 17:36STLPaul KariyaGWGAssists: T.J. Oshie · Wrist, 0.18 xG4–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:31DETJohan Franzen: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:01STLBarret Jackman: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:25STLJay McClement: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:26STLAlexander Steen: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 11:59DETJohan Franzen: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:17DETTomas Holmstrom: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:52STLT.J. Oshie: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 13:05DETKirk Maltby: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Tkachuk won the faceoff against Zetterberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).