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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 8, 2009·TD Garden, Boston

Anaheim Ducks 6, Boston Bruins 1

Away

Anaheim Ducks

6

Final

Home

Boston Bruins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 72% of the time.

BOS winsANA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
ANA01136313630
BOS11901104134

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 16:33BOSMarco SturmAssists: Marc Savard, Dennis Wideman · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
  2. P2 2:13ANATeemu SelannePPAssists: Scott Niedermayer · Slap, 0.11 xG1–1
  3. P2 3:36ANATeemu SelannePPGWGAssists: Corey Perry, Saku Koivu · Backhand, 0.25 xG2–1
  4. P2 13:02ANACorey PerryAssists: James Wisniewski · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–1
  5. P3 6:26ANAEvgeny ArtyukhinAssists: Joffrey Lupul, James Wisniewski · Snap, 0.08 xG4–1
  6. P3 12:46ANABobby RyanAssists: Scott Niedermayer · Tip-in, 0.05 xG5–1
  7. P3 19:07ANACorey PerrySHAssists: Joffrey Lupul · Tip-in, 0.37 xG6–1
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 8:18ANARyan Carter: Elbowing2 min
  2. P2 1:14BOSMatt Hunwick: Interference2 min · PPG
  3. P2 2:06BOSMarco Sturm: Hooking2 min · PPG
  4. P2 5:27ANARyan Whitney: High sticking2 min
  5. P2 8:46ANALuca Sbisa: Hooking2 min
  6. P2 13:52ANARyan Carter: Holding2 min
  7. P3 14:58ANAJoffrey Lupul: Interference2 min
  8. P3 18:01ANAMike Brown: Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

ANA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0BOS
43% to win57% to win
← ANA attackBOS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Savard won the faceoff against Koivu
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

ANABOS
30Shots on goal34
2.9Expected goals1.7
49Shot attempts59
36Faceoffs won23
2Power plays6
12Penalty minutes4
22Hits17
15Blocked shots9
3Giveaways6
3Takeaways3

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

BOS 1.7 xGANA 2.9 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

BOSANA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 33/100 · #837 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.10 · 5 goals in reachComeback index 27% (winner's lowest chance)
ANA 100%5050%50BOS 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +21 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 72% of the time.

BOS winsANA wins

Simulated goal difference (BOS − ANA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).