Thu, Oct 8, 2009·Verizon Center, Washington
New York Rangers 4, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 07 | 212 | 210 | 429 |
| WSH | 19 | 09 | 210 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:18WSHAlexander SeminAssists: Brian Pothier · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 8:47NYRRyan CallahanUnassisted · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–1
- P2 10:48NYRAles KotalikAssists: Artem Anisimov, Enver Lisin · Backhand, 0.17 xG2–1
- P3 3:17WSHNicklas BackstromAssists: Tyler Sloan · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2
- P3 7:51WSHNicklas BackstromPPAssists: Brooks Laich, Alexander Semin · Snap, 0.10 xG2–3
- P3 8:09NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Vinny Prospal · Slap, 0.09 xG3–3
- P3 10:42NYRMarian GaborikPPGWGAssists: Michael Del Zotto · Snap, 0.10 xG4–3
Penalties (14)
- P1 4:01NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Hooking2 min
- P1 7:01WSHMatt Bradley: High sticking2 min
- P1 10:27WSHJeff Schultz: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:31NYRAles Kotalik: Holding2 min
- P1 11:58NYRDan Girardi: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:14NYRVinny Prospal: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 6:45NYRMichal Rozsival: Holding2 min
- P2 7:14NYRChris Drury: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:43WSHMike Green: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:13NYRChris Higgins: Interference2 min
- P2 17:32WSHChris Clark: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 6:54NYRAaron Voros: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 10:19WSHBoyd Gordon: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 14:54NYRDonald Brashear: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Morrison won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).