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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 10, 2009·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Washington Capitals 2, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 88% of the time.

DET winsWSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Eaves, saved by Theodore
  3. P1 0:17Shot by Eaves, saved by Theodore
  4. P1 1:06Shot by Backstrom, saved by Osgood
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Steckel, saved by Osgood
  6. P1 3:58Goal by Bradley (Poti, Gordon)+15 pts WP
  7. P1 5:14Shot by Knuble, saved by Osgood
  8. P1 5:57Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Theodore
  9. P1 9:18Shot by Semin, saved by Osgood
  10. P1 9:29Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood
  11. P1 11:05Clark: Tripping (2 min)
  12. P1 12:59Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Theodore5v4
  13. P1 13:31Shot by Cleary, saved by Theodore6v5
  14. P1 13:31Green: Holding (2 min)6v5
  15. P1 13:49Shot by Filppula, saved by Theodore5v4
  16. P1 14:28Shot by Kronwall, saved by Theodore5v4
  17. P1 14:38Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Theodore5v4
  18. P1 14:51Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Theodore5v4
  19. P1 15:49Shot by Cleary, saved by Theodore
  20. P1 15:49Shot by Cleary, saved by Theodore
  21. P1 15:49Goal by Leino (Cleary, Filppula)+18 pts WP
  22. P1 16:49Shot by Eaves, saved by Theodore
  23. P1 17:17Shot by Knuble, saved by Osgood
  24. P1 17:44Shot by Knuble, saved by Osgood
  25. P1 18:23Shot by Kronwall, saved by Theodore
  26. P1 19:01Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)5v6
  27. P1 19:09Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood4v5
  28. P1 19:39Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood4v5
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:21Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood4v5
  32. P2 0:27Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood4v5
  33. P2 0:31Shot by Semin, saved by Osgood4v5
  34. P2 0:36Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood4v5
  35. P2 1:37Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Theodore
  36. P2 3:22Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Theodore
  37. P2 4:08Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood
  38. P2 4:26Shot by Ericsson, saved by Theodore
  39. P2 4:34Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Theodore
  40. P2 6:11Shot by Stuart, saved by Theodore
  41. P2 7:29Shot by Laing, saved by Osgood
  42. P2 8:39Semin: Slashing (2 min)
  43. P2 9:59Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Theodore5v4
  44. P2 11:11Shot by Cleary, saved by Theodore
  45. P2 11:19Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood
  46. P2 11:40Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Theodore
  47. P2 15:01Semin: Interference (2 min)
  48. P2 15:52Shot by Lidstrom, saved by Theodore5v4
  49. P2 16:26Goal by Williams (Kronwall, Filppula)5v4+21 pts WP
  50. P2 16:35Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Osgood
  51. P2 16:47Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Theodore
  52. P2 17:22Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Theodore
  53. P2 18:18Shot by Knuble, saved by Osgood
  54. P2 18:24Shot by Pothier, saved by Osgood
  55. P2 19:46Lidstrom: Hooking (2 min)
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:25Goal by Morrison (Ovechkin)4v5+24 pts WP
  59. P3 1:57Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Theodore
  60. P3 2:16Shot by Eaves, saved by Theodore
  61. P3 2:26Shot by Bradley, saved by Osgood
  62. P3 2:39Meech: Boarding (2 min)
  63. P3 4:19Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Theodore4v5
  64. P3 5:50Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Theodore
  65. P3 5:53Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Theodore
  66. P3 8:51Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Theodore
  67. P3 12:15Shot by Cleary, saved by Theodore
  68. P3 12:23Green: Hooking (2 min)6v5
  69. P3 13:07Goal by Holmstrom (Datsyuk, Rafalski)5v4+29 pts WP
  70. P3 17:14Shot by Sloan, saved by Osgood
  71. P3 17:43Shot by Williams, saved by Theodore
  72. P3 18:41Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Theodore
  73. P3 18:48Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Theodore