Mon, Oct 12, 2009·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Los Angeles Kings 2, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 04 | 113 | 15 | 222 |
| NYI | 011 | 09 | 19 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 18:33LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Justin Williams, Ryan Smyth · Snap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P3 5:31LAKDrew DoughtyGWGAssists: Jarret Stoll, Teddy Purcell · Slap, 0.07 xG2–0
- P3 18:05NYIMatt MoulsonAssists: Kyle Okposo, Mark Streit · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 8:09NYIJoel Rechlicz: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:09LAKRaitis Ivanans: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:12NYISean Bergenheim: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:53LAKJustin Williams: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:39NYIBlake Comeau: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:44LAKJack Johnson: Holding2 min
- P3 6:33NYIMatt Moulson: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:14LAKRob Scuderi: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Park won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).