Mon, Oct 12, 2009·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Phoenix Coyotes 1, San Jose Sharks 0 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 07 | 011 | 07 | 05 | 1 | 130 |
| SJS | 010 | 05 | 08 | 03 | 1 | 026 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- No goals in regulation or overtime.
Shootout
- 1. SJS Dany Heatley stopped
- 2. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
- 3. SJS Devin Setoguchi stopped
- 4. PHX Peter Mueller scored
- 5. SJS Dan Boyle scored
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:54PHXRadim Vrbata: Slashing2 min
- P1 5:18SJSDan Boyle: Interference2 min
- P2 3:45SJSJody Shelley: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:45PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:43SJSJody Shelley: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:58SJSKent Huskins: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:40SJSRyane Clowe: Holding2 min
- P3 2:41PHXAdrian Aucoin: Interference2 min
- P3 12:45PHXZbynek Michalek: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nichol won the faceoff against Hanzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).