Wed, Oct 14, 2009·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Nashville Predators 0, Dallas Stars 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 09 | 09 | 011 | 029 |
| DAL | 48 | 111 | 17 | 626 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:17DALBrenden MorrowGWGAssists: Mike Ribeiro, Jamie Benn · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 3:57DALBrad RichardsAssists: Loui Eriksson, James Neal · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–2
- P1 6:31DALLoui ErikssonAssists: James Neal, Brad Richards · Tip-in, 0.18 xG0–3
- P1 8:48DALBrenden MorrowPPAssists: Brad Richards, Jamie Benn · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–4
- P2 1:27DALLoui ErikssonPPAssists: James Neal, Mike Ribeiro · Wrist, 0.48 xG0–5
- P3 17:47DALToby PetersenAssists: Karlis Skrastins, Jere Lehtinen · Tip-in, 0.04 xG0–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 8:16NSHDan Hamhuis: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 19:59NSHMartin Erat: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 0:35NSHKevin Klein: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:32NSHDavid Legwand: Elbowing2 min
- P2 14:09DALNicklas Grossmann: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:03DALBrian Sutherby: Cross checking2 min
- P3 1:09DALStephane Robidas: Interference2 min
- P3 9:35DALMike Ribeiro: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Ribeiro won the faceoff against Arnott
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DAL − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).