Thu, Oct 15, 2009·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Los Angeles Kings 2, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 18 | 011 | 17 | 226 |
| DET | 07 | 210 | 214 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:41LAKDustin BrownAssists: Matt Greene, Jarret Stoll · Backhand, 0.29 xG1–0
- P2 3:33DETJonathan EricssonAssists: Justin Abdelkader · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P2 8:47DETTomas HolmstromPPAssists: Nicklas Lidstrom, Brian Rafalski · Tip-in, 0.02 xG1–2
- P3 3:24DETHenrik ZetterbergGWGAssists: Nicklas Lidstrom · Tip-in, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 11:57LAKJustin WilliamsAssists: Sean O'Donnell, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.02 xG2–3
- P3 14:43DETKirk MaltbyAssists: Todd Bertuzzi · Slap, 0.11 xG2–4
Penalties (12)
- P1 3:28DETNiklas Kronwall: Hooking2 min
- P2 1:15LAKDavis Drewiske: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:02LAKTeddy Purcell: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P2 14:44LAKRyan Smyth: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:17LAKSean O'Donnell: Boarding2 min
- P3 1:27DETKirk Maltby: Interference2 min
- P3 3:21LAKJarret Stoll: Holding2 min
- P3 8:11DETKirk Maltby: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:37LAKRyan Smyth: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:01DETNiklas Kronwall: Holding2 min
- P3 16:46LAKMatt Greene: Hooking2 min
- P3 17:47DETBrian Rafalski: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zetterberg won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).