Sat, Oct 17, 2009·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
San Jose Sharks 4, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 08 | 212 | 29 | 429 |
| NYI | 119 | 05 | 08 | 132 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:12NYIMatt MoulsonPPAssists: Kyle Okposo, John Tavares · Snap, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 7:50SJSPatrick MarleauPPAssists: Joe Thornton, Jason Demers · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 16:24SJSRyan VesceGWGAssists: Joe Thornton · Snap, 0.19 xG2–1
- P3 0:37SJSJoe ThorntonPPUnassisted · Slap, 0.04 xG3–1
- P3 13:55SJSDevin SetoguchiAssists: Ryane Clowe · Wrist, 0.25 xG4–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 14:34SJSJody Shelley: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 17:01NYIJohn Tavares: Cross checking2 min
- P1 17:01SJSRyane Clowe: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:50SJSRob Blake: Interference2 min
- P2 4:27SJSJed Ortmeyer: Diving2 min
- P2 4:27NYIRadek Martinek: Interference2 min
- P2 6:53NYIBrendan Witt: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 17:53SJSScott Nichol: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 0:00NYIJack Hillen: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 16:03NYITim Jackman: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:03SJSRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:03NYIBrendan Witt: Boarding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Park won the faceoff against Marleau
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).