Thu, Oct 29, 2009·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Phoenix Coyotes 2, St. Louis Blues 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 011 | 113 | 15 | 229 |
| STL | 09 | 012 | 011 | 032 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:48PHXDaniel WinnikGWGAssists: Sami Lepisto, Vernon Fiddler · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P3 2:54PHXTaylor PyattAssists: Vernon Fiddler, Adrian Aucoin · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–0
Penalties (5)
- P1 3:22PHXTaylor Pyatt: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:28PHXPeter Mueller: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:03PHXTaylor Pyatt: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:59STLRoman Polak: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:18STLAlex Pietrangelo: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Stastny
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).