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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 29, 2009·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Vancouver Canucks 2, Los Angeles Kings 1 (SO)

Away

Vancouver Canucks

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Los Angeles Kings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.

LAK winsVAN wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
VAN140602032215
LAK11207010021131

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 11:27LAKScott ParseAssists: Teddy Purcell, Jarret Stoll · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
  2. P1 18:36VANMikael SamuelssonAssists: Alexandre Burrows, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.08 xG1–1

Shootout

  1. 1. LAK Michal Handzus stopped
  2. 2. VAN Ryan Kesler scored
  3. 3. LAK Jack Johnson scored
  4. 4. VAN Mason Raymond stopped
  5. 5. LAK Ryan Smyth stopped
  6. 6. VAN Mikael Samuelsson scored
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 4:45VANMikael Samuelsson: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 12:37VANSergei Shirokov: Hooking2 min
  3. P1 19:57LAKSean O'Donnell: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  4. P1 19:57VANKevin Bieksa: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  5. P2 1:49LAKDavis Drewiske: Holding the stick2 min
  6. P2 10:47LAKJarret Stoll: Holding the stick2 min
  7. P3 8:29VANAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

VAN00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
43% to win57% to win
← VAN attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Kesler
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

VANLAK
15Shots on goal31
1.2Expected goals2.0
41Shot attempts65
26Faceoffs won30
2Power plays3
8Penalty minutes6
24Hits26
16Blocked shots17
5Giveaways13
7Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 2.0 xGVAN 1.2 xG
00.511.52P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKVAN

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.

Excitement 31/100 · #852 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.15 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 27% (winner's lowest chance)
VAN 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +17 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 66% of the time.

LAK winsVAN wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).