Fri, Oct 30, 2009·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
New York Rangers 2, Minnesota Wild 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 05 | 18 | 17 | 220 |
| MIN | 112 | 213 | 07 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 18:31MINPetr SykoraAssists: Mikko Koivu, Andrew Brunette · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 5:33NYRDane ByersAssists: Wade Redden · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P2 7:49MINEric BelangerAssists: Martin Havlat, Petr Sykora · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
- P2 19:01MINAntti MiettinenGWGAssists: Mikko Koivu · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–3
- P3 5:01NYRMarc StaalAssists: Vinny Prospal, Artem Anisimov · Snap, 0.02 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 5:12MINEric Belanger: Kneeing2 min
- P1 7:09NYRMarc Staal: Kneeing2 min
- P2 10:33NYRMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:17NYRDane Byers: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:24MINAndrew Brunette: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Brodziak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).