Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 30, 2009·United Center, Chicago

Montréal Canadiens 2, Chicago Blackhawks 3

Away

Montréal Canadiens

2

Final

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.

CHI winsMTL wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
MTL0721005222
CHI11311419336

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 13:46CHIKris VersteegAssists: Dave Bolland, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
  2. P2 9:54CHICam BarkerPPAssists: Kris Versteeg, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.05 xG0–2
  3. P2 15:55MTLMichael CammalleriAssists: Jaroslav Spacek, Roman Hamrlik · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–2
  4. P2 19:57MTLTravis MoenAssists: Glen Metropolit, Max Pacioretty · Slap, 0.14 xG2–2
  5. P3 15:50CHIPatrick SharpGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Cam Barker · Slap, 0.07 xG2–3
Penalties (15)
  1. P1 3:48MTLKyle Chipchura: Roughing2 min
  2. P1 3:48CHIAndrew Ladd: Game misconduct10 min
  3. P1 3:48CHIAndrew Ladd: Elbowing5 min
  4. P1 3:48CHIAndrew Ladd: Roughing2 min
  5. P1 3:48MTLKyle Chipchura: Roughing2 min
  6. P1 11:37MTLHal Gill: Cross checking2 min
  7. P1 15:31CHITomas Kopecky: Slashing2 min
  8. P1 16:01MTLScott Gomez: Holding2 min
  9. P1 17:01CHIDuncan Keith: Roughing2 min
  10. P1 17:01MTLMaxim Lapierre: Roughing2 min
  11. P2 1:08MTLMichael Cammalleri: Holding2 min
  12. P2 9:46MTLHal Gill: Hooking2 min · PPG
  13. P3 2:57MTLJosh Gorges: Interference2 min
  14. P3 11:32MTLRoman Hamrlik: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  15. P3 12:50CHIDave Bolland: Interference2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

MTL00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← MTL attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Bolland won the faceoff against Gomez
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

MTLCHI
22Shots on goal36
2.4Expected goals2.9
46Shot attempts58
20Faceoffs won31
3Power plays6
18Penalty minutes23
24Hits22
15Blocked shots17
2Giveaways8
5Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 2.9 xGMTL 2.4 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHIMTL

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.

Excitement 69/100 · #365 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.65 · 5 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 47% (winner's lowest chance)
MTL 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +37 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.

CHI winsMTL wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − MTL), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).