Sat, Oct 31, 2009·TD Garden, Boston
Edmonton Oilers 0, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 05 | 07 | 07 | 019 |
| BOS | 07 | 09 | 211 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 2:47BOSBlake WheelerGWGAssists: Vladimir Sobotka, Daniel Paille · Snap, 0.22 xG0–1
- P3 7:02BOSVladimir SobotkaAssists: Blake Wheeler, Daniel Paille · Tip-in, 0.07 xG0–2
Penalties (4)
- P2 2:40EDMTheo Peckham: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:57BOSShawn Thornton: Hooking2 min
- P3 15:08BOSPatrice Bergeron: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:17EDMRobert Nilsson: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horcoff won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).