Thu, Nov 5, 2009·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Vancouver Canucks 5, Minnesota Wild 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 16 | 311 | 15 | 522 |
| MIN | 03 | 212 | 015 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:49VANDarcy HordichukUnassisted · Slap, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 2:20VANMason RaymondPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Christian Ehrhoff · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 4:28MINKyle BrodziakAssists: Cal Clutterbuck, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.36 xG2–1
- P2 12:14VANHenrik SedinSHGWGAssists: Alexandre Burrows, Willie Mitchell · Slap, 0.03 xG3–1
- P2 12:47MINKyle BrodziakAssists: Marek Zidlicky · Wrist, 0.17 xG3–2
- P2 14:52VANMatt PettingerAssists: Ryan Johnson, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–2
- P3 18:19VANAlexandre BurrowsENUnassisted · Snap, 0.58 xG5–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:32VANKevin Bieksa: High sticking2 min
- P1 5:33MINChuck Kobasew: Hooking2 min
- P1 10:46VANHenrik Sedin: Roughing2 min
- P1 17:08VANTanner Glass: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 0:00MINDerek Boogaard: Cross checking2 min
- P1 0:00MINDerek Boogaard: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 10:19VANChristian Ehrhoff: Holding2 min
- P2 0:00VANChristian Ehrhoff: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:53MINJohn Scott: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Brodziak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).