Thu, Nov 5, 2009·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 16 | 17 | 010 | 223 |
| LAK | 17 | 013 | 412 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:27LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Justin Williams, Ryan Smyth · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–1
- P1 1:10PITJordan StaalAssists: Chris Conner, Jay McKee · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 10:51PITChris KunitzAssists: Brooks Orpik, Bill Guerin · Deflected, 0.06 xG2–1
- P3 6:17LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Justin Williams, Drew Doughty · Backhand, 0.08 xG2–2
- P3 12:09LAKJarret StollGWGAssists: Dustin Brown · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 12:32LAKMichal HandzusAssists: Alex Frolov, Wayne Simmonds · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–4
- P3 17:30LAKDustin BrownAssists: Jarret Stoll, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–5
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:52LAKMatt Greene: Holding2 min
- P2 1:15PITMatt Cooke: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:35PITMark Eaton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 17:53LAKJustin Williams: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:53PITChris Kunitz: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:53LAKMichal Handzus: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:50LAKMatt Greene: Holding2 min
- P3 12:52PITSidney Crosby: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).