Fri, Nov 6, 2009·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise
Washington Capitals 4, Florida Panthers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 112 | 110 | 23 | 425 |
| FLA | 012 | 08 | 19 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:53WSHTyler SloanAssists: Chris Clark, Brian Pothier · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 10:46WSHBrendan MorrisonGWGAssists: Brooks Laich, Brian Pothier · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–0
- P3 6:56WSHBrian PothierPPAssists: Nicklas Backstrom, Tomas Fleischmann · Slap, 0.05 xG3–0
- P3 10:28FLANathan HortonPPAssists: Dmitry Kulikov, Cory Stillman · Tip-in, 0.13 xG3–1
- P3 19:21WSHBrendan MorrisonENAssists: Mike Knuble · Wrist, 0.71 xG4–1
Penalties (5)
- P2 11:12FLAKeith Ballard: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:16FLAMichal Repik: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 9:27WSHBrendan Morrison: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 11:42WSHShaone Morrisonn: Boarding5 min
- P3 11:42WSHShaone Morrisonn: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Weiss won the faceoff against Perreault
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).