Sat, Nov 7, 2009·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Nashville Predators 3, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 06 | 110 | 29 | 325 |
| LAK | 08 | 05 | 115 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 16:38NSHFrancis BouillonPPAssists: Cody Franson, Martin Erat · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
- P3 4:52NSHCody FransonGWGAssists: Martin Erat, Andreas Thuresson · Slap, 0.02 xG2–0
- P3 8:25LAKJarret StollPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Dustin Brown · Slap, 0.05 xG2–1
- P3 9:45NSHJoel WardAssists: David Legwand · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–1
Penalties (10)
- P1 12:08LAKDrew Doughty: Tripping2 min
- P1 18:54NSHDan Hamhuis: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:57NSHMartin Erat: Slashing2 min
- P2 5:26LAKWayne Simmonds: Slashing2 min
- P2 16:04LAKRaitis Ivanans: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:57LAKJonathan Quick: Interference2 min
- P3 5:57NSHRyan Suter: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:18NSHDan Hamhuis: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 11:03LAKAlex Frolov: Holding2 min
- P3 19:34NSHFrancis Bouillon: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Legwand won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).