Wed, Nov 11, 2009·RBC Center, Raleigh
Los Angeles Kings 5, Carolina Hurricanes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 113 | 17 | 311 | 531 |
| CAR | 02 | 111 | 111 | 224 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:31LAKRyan SmythPPAssists: Dustin Brown, Anze Kopitar · Backhand, 0.25 xG1–0
- P2 2:01LAKJarret StollAssists: Randy Jones, Wayne Simmonds · Deflected, 0.16 xG2–0
- P2 15:25CARTuomo RuutuAssists: Rod Brind'Amour, Sergei Samsonov · Snap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P3 4:03CARTuomo RuutuAssists: Ray Whitney, Andrew Alberts · Snap, 0.04 xG2–2
- P3 6:41LAKRandy JonesPPGWGAssists: Justin Williams, Alex Frolov · Tip-in, 0.18 xG3–2
- P3 10:05LAKWayne SimmondsAssists: Alex Frolov, Michal Handzus · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–2
- P3 18:19LAKJustin WilliamsENAssists: Ryan Smyth, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.67 xG5–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 3:24CARMatt Cullen: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P1 11:32CARBryan Rodney: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:42CARJoe Corvo: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 4:51LAKPeter Harrold: Elbowing2 min
- P2 11:51CARTom Kostopoulos: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 4:55CARScott Walker: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 19:21LAKWayne Simmonds: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Cullen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).