Wed, Nov 11, 2009·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Detroit Red Wings 9, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 418 | 213 | 38 | 939 |
| CBJ | 07 | 111 | 08 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:05DETDaniel ClearyAssists: Henrik Zetterberg · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 3:03DETPavel DatsyukGWGUnassisted · Snap, 0.05 xG2–0
- P1 7:31DETKris DraperAssists: Brett Lebda · Deflected, 0.11 xG3–0
- P1 11:57DETNiklas KronwallPPAssists: Daniel Cleary · Slap, 0.05 xG4–0
- P2 10:56CBJRick NashAssists: R.J. Umberger, Rostislav Klesla · Backhand, 0.09 xG4–1
- P2 13:17DETTodd BertuzziAssists: Pavel Datsyuk, Tomas Holmstrom · Wrist, 0.18 xG5–1
- P2 13:50DETVille LeinoAssists: Henrik Zetterberg, Nicklas Lidstrom · Wrist, 0.18 xG6–1
- P3 4:59DETNiklas KronwallPPAssists: Brian Rafalski, Todd Bertuzzi · Slap, 0.03 xG7–1
- P3 8:08DETJustin AbdelkaderAssists: Patrick Eaves · Wrist, 0.10 xG8–1
- P3 18:36DETJustin AbdelkaderAssists: Brad May, Niklas Kronwall · Wrist, 0.15 xG9–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:04CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
- P1 5:04DETBrad May: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:38CBJNikita Filatov: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 14:21CBJAntoine Vermette: Holding2 min
- P2 3:49CBJMike Commodore: Slashing2 min
- P2 15:06DETJonathan Ericsson: Interference2 min
- P3 4:17CBJAnton Stralman: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 5:38DETDarren Helm: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Datsyuk won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).