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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 12, 2009·TD Garden, Boston

Florida Panthers 1, Boston Bruins 0 (SO)

Away

Florida Panthers

1

Final

Shootout

Home

Boston Bruins

0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 75% of the time.

BOS winsFLA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
FLA0601014021123
BOS0901908040040

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. No goals in regulation or overtime.

Shootout

  1. 1. BOS Blake Wheeler stopped
  2. 2. FLA Steve Reinprecht stopped
  3. 3. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
  4. 4. FLA Rostislav Olesz stopped
  5. 5. BOS Zdeno Chara stopped
  6. 6. FLA Stephen Weiss stopped
  7. 7. BOS Michael Ryder stopped
  8. 8. FLA Cory Stillman scored
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 4:38FLAJordan Leopold: Interference2 min
  2. P1 12:08BOSBrad Marchand: Tripping2 min
  3. P1 12:58BOSZdeno Chara: Hooking2 min
  4. P2 0:58BOSMichael Ryder: Too many men on the ice2 min
  5. P2 8:42FLAKeith Ballard: Tripping2 min
  6. P2 11:34FLABryan Allen: Fighting5 min
  7. P2 11:34BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
  8. P2 16:08FLAKeith Ballard: Tripping2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

FLA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0BOS
43% to win57% to win
← FLA attackBOS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Begin won the faceoff against Weiss
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

FLABOS
23Shots on goal40
1.9Expected goals3.3
44Shot attempts70
27Faceoffs won31
3Power plays3
11Penalty minutes11
21Hits20
17Blocked shots14
4Giveaways4
6Takeaways2

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

BOS 3.3 xGFLA 1.9 xG
01234P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

BOSFLA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 10/100 · #1100 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.79 · 0 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
FLA 100%5050%50BOS 100%P1P2P3OTEnd

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 75% of the time.

BOS winsFLA wins

Simulated goal difference (BOS − FLA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).