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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 13, 2009·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Anaheim Ducks 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (SO)

Away

Anaheim Ducks

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 53% of the time.

CBJ winsANA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
ANA11211208020234
CBJ11016013002329

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 7:55ANABobby RyanAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry · Snap, 0.03 xG1–0
  2. P1 18:26CBJRick NashAssists: Kristian Huselius, Antoine Vermette · Slap, 0.08 xG1–1
  3. P2 1:45ANATodd MarchantAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Nick Boynton · Snap, 0.24 xG2–1
  4. P2 5:15CBJKristian HuseliusPPAssists: Antoine Vermette, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2

Shootout

  1. 1. CBJ Kristian Huselius scored
  2. 2. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
  3. 3. CBJ Nikita Filatov stopped
  4. 4. ANA Corey Perry stopped
  5. 5. CBJ Rick Nash scored
Penalties (11)
  1. P1 3:29CBJJason Chimera: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 5:49CBJJason Chimera: Cross checking2 min
  3. P1 19:39ANARyan Getzlaf: Holding2 min
  4. P2 5:07ANAEvgeny Artyukhin: Holding2 min · PPG
  5. P2 6:46CBJDerick Brassard: Holding2 min
  6. P2 14:49CBJKris Russell: Roughing2 min
  7. P2 14:49ANAErik Christensen: Roughing2 min
  8. P2 17:20CBJNikita Filatov: Tripping2 min
  9. P3 11:37ANARyan Getzlaf: Holding2 min
  10. OT 2:39CBJKristian Huselius: Too many men on the ice2 min
  11. OT 4:08ANARyan Whitney: Boarding2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

ANA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CBJ
43% to win57% to win
← ANA attackCBJ attack →
  1. P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Getzlaf
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

ANACBJ
34Shots on goal29
2.7Expected goals2.9
60Shot attempts56
28Faceoffs won26
5Power plays4
10Penalty minutes12
20Hits30
14Blocked shots15
3Giveaways2
4Takeaways9

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CBJ 2.9 xGANA 2.7 xG
0123P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CBJANA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 51/100 · #596 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.65 · 4 goals in reachComeback index 34% (winner's lowest chance)
ANA 100%5050%50CBJ 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +20 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 53% of the time.

CBJ winsANA wins

Simulated goal difference (CBJ − ANA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).