Sat, Nov 14, 2009·Pepsi Center, Denver
Vancouver Canucks 8, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 313 | 19 | 48 | 830 |
| COL | 07 | 011 | 216 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:57VANHenrik SedinAssists: Ryan Kesler, Mason Raymond · Backhand, 0.32 xG1–0
- P1 7:09VANHenrik SedinAssists: Mason Raymond, Ryan Johnson · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–0
- P1 10:59VANJannik HansenGWGAssists: Tanner Glass, Ryan Johnson · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–0
- P2 8:22VANMathieu SchneiderAssists: Mikael Samuelsson, Alexandre Burrows · Slap, 0.02 xG4–0
- P3 5:52COLMarek SvatosPPAssists: Kyle Quincey, Kyle Cumiskey · Wrist, 0.48 xG4–1
- P3 10:52COLMatt HendricksAssists: Ryan O'Reilly, Adam Foote · Wrist, 0.45 xG4–2
- P3 11:17VANSteve BernierAssists: Ryan Johnson, Jannik Hansen · Wrist, 0.13 xG5–2
- P3 12:53VANHenrik SedinPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Mason Raymond · Snap, 0.04 xG6–2
- P3 17:36VANSteve BernierAssists: Matt Pettinger, Kevin Bieksa · Wrist, 0.10 xG7–2
- P3 19:45VANTanner GlassAssists: Mathieu Schneider, Kevin Bieksa · Wrist, 0.05 xG8–2
Penalties (19)
- P1 4:57VANMason Raymond: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:14COLKyle Quincey: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:13COLKyle Quincey: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:52VANMikael Samuelsson: Roughing2 min
- P1 16:52COLAdam Foote: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:51VANKyle Wellwood: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 3:16VANMathieu Schneider: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:20COLKyle Quincey: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 10:58COLCody McLeod: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 18:27VANMathieu Schneider: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:00VANRyan Kesler: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 0:00COLDarcy Tucker: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 4:08VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 11:50COLKyle Cumiskey: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:28COLAdam Foote: Holding2 min
- P3 18:04VANRick Rypien: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:04COLCody McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:04COLCody McLeod: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:04VANRick Rypien: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stastny won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
COL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line COL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (COL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).