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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 15, 2009·United Center, Chicago

San Jose Sharks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (OT)

Away

San Jose Sharks

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.

CHI winsSJS wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
SJS17280800323
CHI192130612430

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 4:08CHIBrent SopelAssists: Jordan Hendry · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
  2. P1 15:01SJSDany HeatleyAssists: Joe Thornton, Jason Demers · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1
  3. P2 1:14SJSJason DemersPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–1
  4. P2 1:59SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Joe Pavelski, Derek Joslin · Wrist, 0.31 xG3–1
  5. P2 7:54CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Jonathan Toews, Duncan Keith · Snap, 0.15 xG3–2
  6. P2 18:41CHIJohn MaddenAssists: Andrew Ladd, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–3
  7. OT 0:41CHIBrent SeabrookGWGAssists: Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–4
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 1:13CHIJohn Madden: Holding2 min
  2. P2 0:42CHIBen Eager: Fighting5 min · PPG
  3. P2 0:42SJSDouglas Murray: Fighting5 min
  4. P2 0:42CHIBen Eager: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  5. P2 4:35CHIAndrew Ladd: Boarding2 min
  6. P2 8:26SJSDouglas Murray: Cross checking2 min
  7. P3 0:52CHIDustin Byfuglien: Interference2 min
  8. P3 7:19SJSManny Malhotra: High sticking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

SJS00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← SJS attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Kopecky
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

SJSCHI
23Shots on goal30
2.1Expected goals2.5
43Shot attempts52
23Faceoffs won25
4Power plays2
9Penalty minutes13
17Hits21
10Blocked shots11
2Giveaways10
6Takeaways15

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 2.5 xGSJS 2.1 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHISJS

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.

Excitement 80/100 · #209 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.94 · 7 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 17% (winner's lowest chance)
SJS 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +25 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.

CHI winsSJS wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − SJS), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).