Tue, Nov 17, 2009·Madison Square Garden, New York
Washington Capitals 4, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 115 | 16 | 25 | 426 |
| NYR | 15 | 06 | 19 | 220 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:16NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Dan Girardi, Marc Staal · Wrist, 0.37 xG0–1
- P1 15:06WSHAlex OvechkinPPAssists: Mike Green, Tomas Fleischmann · Slap, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 15:44WSHBrooks LaichPPAssists: Mike Green, Chris Clark · Backhand, 0.45 xG2–1
- P3 8:23NYRMarian GaborikPPAssists: PA Parenteau, Sean Avery · Snap, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 15:09WSHMatt BradleyGWGAssists: Jay Beagle · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–2
- P3 19:43WSHBrian PothierENUnassisted · Backhand, 0.41 xG4–2
Penalties (12)
- P1 5:18WSHTomas Fleischmann: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:03NYRMichal Rozsival: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:39NYRAaron Voros: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 10:39WSHMatt Bradley: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:47NYRSean Avery: Tripping2 min
- P2 5:42WSHBrendan Morrison: Holding2 min
- P2 8:49NYRAaron Voros: Interference2 min
- P2 14:11NYRAles Kotalik: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 4:36WSHJohn Erskine: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:46WSHBrian Pothier: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 9:14WSHNicklas Backstrom: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:14NYRRyan Callahan: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Laing won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).