Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 18, 2009·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Los Angeles Kings 2

Away

Philadelphia Flyers

3

Final

Home

Los Angeles Kings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.

LAK winsPHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
PHI062915320
LAK11107121239

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 14:53LAKJarret StollAssists: Dustin Brown, Scott Parse · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
  2. P2 7:52PHIMika PyoralaAssists: Scott Hartnell, Braydon Coburn · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–1
  3. P2 18:55PHIMike RichardsAssists: Claude Giroux, Matt Carle · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–1
  4. P3 1:47PHIJames van RiemsdykGWGAssists: Braydon Coburn, Daniel Brière · Backhand, 0.16 xG3–1
  5. P3 12:09LAKDrew DoughtyPPAssists: Jarret Stoll, Justin Williams · Slap, 0.02 xG3–2
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 18:22PHIKimmo Timonen: Holding2 min
  2. P1 18:22PHIDarroll Powe: Cross checking2 min
  3. P2 11:30LAKSean O'Donnell: Cross checking2 min
  4. P2 11:30PHIScott Hartnell: Cross checking2 min
  5. P2 19:12PHIIan Laperriere: Roughing2 min
  6. P2 19:57LAKDustin Brown: Boarding2 min
  7. P3 7:34LAKJustin Williams: High sticking2 min
  8. P3 11:31PHIJeff Carter: Hooking2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

PHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
43% to win57% to win
← PHI attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Betts won the faceoff against Stoll
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

PHILAK
20Shots on goal39
2.0Expected goals2.8
46Shot attempts67
26Faceoffs won29
2Power plays4
10Penalty minutes6
30Hits29
14Blocked shots10
12Giveaways11
3Takeaways5

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 2.8 xGPHI 2.0 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKPHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 38/100 · #765 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.28 · 5 goals in reachComeback index 26% (winner's lowest chance)
PHI 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +25 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.

LAK winsPHI wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − PHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).