Fri, Nov 20, 2009·Verizon Center, Washington
Montréal Canadiens 3, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 014 | 24 | 14 | 322 |
| WSH | 17 | 011 | 116 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:52WSHEric FehrAssists: Mathieu Perreault, Mike Green · Snap, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 3:59MTLTravis MoenAssists: Roman Hamrlik, Michael Cammalleri · Tip-in, 0.09 xG1–1
- P2 6:46MTLTomas PlekanecAssists: Andrei Kostitsyn, Max Pacioretty · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–1
- P3 12:29MTLMichael CammalleriPPGWGAssists: Paul Mara, Tomas Plekanec · Slap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P3 17:28WSHBrendan MorrisonAssists: Mike Green, Nicklas Backstrom · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:43MTLJosh Gorges: Interference2 min
- P1 13:20MTLJaroslav Spacek: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:59MTLGeorges Laraque: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:59WSHJohn Erskine: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:21WSHMathieu Perreault: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:49MTLGuillaume Latendresse: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:49WSHBrendan Morrison: Diving2 min
- P3 12:07WSHBrooks Laich: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 18:08MTLMaxim Lapierre: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gomez won the faceoff against Beagle
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).