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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 21, 2009·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale

Philadelphia Flyers 1, Phoenix Coyotes 3

Away

Philadelphia Flyers

1

Final

Home

Phoenix Coyotes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 62% of the time.

PHX winsPHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
PHI061909124
PHX051927321

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 4:49PHXMatthew LombardiPPAssists: Shane Doan, Robert Lang · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
  2. P2 7:14PHIScott HartnellAssists: Claude Giroux, Kimmo Timonen · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
  3. P3 10:19PHXKeith YandlePPGWGAssists: Matthew Lombardi, Adrian Aucoin · Slap, 0.07 xG1–2
  4. P3 19:20PHXShane DoanENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.69 xG1–3
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 8:42PHIOskars Bartulis: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  2. P1 12:09PHXJim Vandermeer: Interference goalkeeper2 min
  3. P2 4:24PHIDaniel Brière: Slashing2 min · PPG
  4. P2 8:02PHXSami Lepisto: Cross checking2 min
  5. P2 12:50PHXScottie Upshall: Holding2 min
  6. P2 15:03PHXSami Lepisto: Hooking2 min
  7. P2 18:10PHIBraydon Coburn: Interference2 min
  8. P3 3:16PHIRyan Parent: Tripping2 min
  9. P3 8:29PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Interference2 min · PPG
  10. P3 15:11PHXShane Doan: Slashing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

PHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0PHX
43% to win57% to win
← PHI attackPHX attack →
  1. P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Betts
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

PHIPHX
24Shots on goal21
2.3Expected goals2.9
47Shot attempts48
27Faceoffs won26
5Power plays5
10Penalty minutes10
24Hits21
17Blocked shots16
3Giveaways4
1Takeaways2

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

PHX 2.9 xGPHI 2.3 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

PHXPHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 40/100 · #735 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.38 · 4 goals in reachComeback index 52% (winner's lowest chance)
PHI 100%5050%50PHX 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +29 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 62% of the time.

PHX winsPHI wins

Simulated goal difference (PHX − PHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).