Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 23, 2009·Madison Square Garden, New York

Columbus Blue Jackets 4, New York Rangers 7

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

4

Final

Home

New York Rangers

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.

NYR winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CBJ2111400415
NYR31041500725

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 5:38CBJDerek MacKenzieAssists: Raffi Torres, Jared Boll · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
  2. P1 9:31CBJJared BollAssists: Raffi Torres, Rostislav Klesla · Snap, 0.04 xG2–0
  3. P1 11:29NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Vinny Prospal, Chris Higgins · Snap, 0.14 xG2–1
  4. P1 13:37NYRArtem AnisimovAssists: Marian Gaborik, Wade Redden · Tip-in, 0.23 xG2–2
  5. P1 17:19NYRMichael Del ZottoUnassisted · Snap, 0.07 xG2–3
  6. P2 6:12NYRSean AveryPPAssists: PA Parenteau · Wrap-around, 0.08 xG2–4
  7. P2 7:03NYRSean AveryGWGAssists: Marian Gaborik, Artem Anisimov · Snap, 0.14 xG2–5
  8. P2 7:23NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Chris Higgins · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–6
  9. P2 12:47NYRMatt GilroyAssists: PA Parenteau, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–7
  10. P2 18:48CBJKristian HuseliusAssists: Antoine Vermette, Mike Commodore · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–7
Penalties (5)
  1. P1 18:00CBJJan Hejda: Tripping2 min
  2. P1 19:04CBJMarc Methot: Interference2 min
  3. P2 4:37CBJRick Nash: Roughing2 min · PPG
  4. P2 8:42NYRAaron Voros: Fighting5 min
  5. P2 8:42CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NYR
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackNYR attack →
  1. P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Prospal
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJNYR
15Shots on goal25
1.3Expected goals2.6
23Shot attempts37
16Faceoffs won18
1Power plays4
11Penalty minutes5
24Hits25
7Blocked shots3
3Giveaways6
3Takeaways5

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NYR 2.6 xGCBJ 1.3 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NYRCBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 76/100 · #262 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.16 · 8 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 25% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50NYR 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +17 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 77% of the time.

NYR winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (NYR − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).