Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 24, 2009·Centre Bell, Montreal

Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Montréal Canadiens 5

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

3

Final

Home

Montréal Canadiens

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 70% of the time.

MTL winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CBJ21411408336
MTL1719313529

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 5:50MTLMichael CammalleriAssists: Andrei Kostitsyn, Tomas Plekanec · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
  2. P1 6:36CBJAntoine VermetteAssists: Rick Nash, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–1
  3. P1 8:12CBJAnton StralmanPPAssists: Rick Nash, Fedor Tyutin · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
  4. P2 9:30MTLMarc-Andre BergeronAssists: Josh Gorges, Tomas Plekanec · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2
  5. P2 11:46CBJAntoine VermettePPAssists: Raffi Torres, Derick Brassard · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–2
  6. P3 2:18MTLGlen MetropolitAssists: Roman Hamrlik, Max Pacioretty · Backhand, 0.28 xG3–3
  7. P3 4:56MTLMarc-Andre BergeronGWGAssists: Ryan White · Slap, 0.18 xG3–4
  8. P3 15:25MTLMaxim LapierreAssists: Sergei Kostitsyn · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–5
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 8:05MTLJosh Gorges: Clipping2 min · PPG
  2. P1 16:13MTLSergei Kostitsyn: Tripping2 min
  3. P1 16:42CBJKristian Huselius: Holding the stick2 min
  4. P2 6:09MTLPaul Mara: Hooking2 min
  5. P2 10:29MTLTravis Moen: Roughing2 min · PPG
  6. P2 14:17CBJJared Boll: Tripping2 min
  7. P2 19:56CBJFedor Tyutin: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0MTL
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackMTL attack →
  1. Press play, or drag along the timeline.
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJMTL
36Shots on goal29
3.0Expected goals1.9
70Shot attempts58
24Faceoffs won28
4Power plays3
6Penalty minutes8
17Hits14
19Blocked shots24
7Giveaways12
4Takeaways7

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

MTL 1.9 xGCBJ 3.0 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

MTLCBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 80/100 · #207 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.98 · 8 goals in reachComeback index 26% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50MTL 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +27 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 70% of the time.

MTL winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (MTL − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).