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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 25, 2009·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

New York Rangers 2, Florida Panthers 1 (SO)

Away

New York Rangers

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Florida Panthers

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.

FLA winsNYR wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
NYR081904071228
FLA02010112020126

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 19:35NYRMarian GaborikPPAssists: Chris Drury, Sean Avery · Tip-in, 0.34 xG1–0
  2. P3 15:07FLADominic MooreUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1

Shootout

  1. 1. FLA Nathan Horton stopped
  2. 2. NYR Marian Gaborik stopped
  3. 3. FLA Steve Reinprecht stopped
  4. 4. NYR PA Parenteau scored
  5. 5. FLA Stephen Weiss stopped
Penalties (14)
  1. P1 8:32FLAJordan Leopold: Tripping2 min
  2. P1 14:25NYRRyan Callahan: Slashing2 min
  3. P1 17:12NYRMarian Gaborik: Slashing2 min
  4. P2 4:43FLABryan McCabe: High sticking2 min
  5. P2 7:22NYRBrian Boyle: Tripping2 min
  6. P2 10:46FLASteve MacIntyre: Fighting5 min
  7. P2 10:46NYRDonald Brashear: Fighting5 min
  8. P2 17:45FLADennis Seidenberg: Interference2 min · PPG
  9. P3 5:40NYRMatt Gilroy: Instigator2 min
  10. P3 5:40NYRMatt Gilroy: Fighting5 min
  11. P3 5:40NYRMatt Gilroy: Misconduct10 min
  12. P3 5:40FLAVictor Oreskovich: Fighting5 min
  13. P3 7:47NYRVinny Prospal: Interference2 min
  14. OT 0:39FLARadek Dvorak: High sticking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NYR00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0FLA
43% to win57% to win
← NYR attackFLA attack →
  1. P1 20:00Prospal won the faceoff against Weiss
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NYRFLA
28Shots on goal26
2.3Expected goals1.9
53Shot attempts56
33Faceoffs won25
4Power plays5
30Penalty minutes18
31Hits19
13Blocked shots10
2Giveaways4
1Takeaways9

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

FLA 1.9 xGNYR 2.3 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

FLANYR

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.

Excitement 54/100 · #554 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.67 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
NYR 100%5050%50FLA 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +37 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.

FLA winsNYR wins

Simulated goal difference (FLA − NYR), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).