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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 27, 2009·TD Garden, Boston

New Jersey Devils 2, Boston Bruins 1 (SO)

Away

New Jersey Devils

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Boston Bruins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 72% of the time.

BOS winsNJD wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
NJD01011509032237
BOS09010111031133

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 9:45NJDZach PariseAssists: Matt Halischuk, Bryce Salvador · Slap, 0.41 xG1–0
  2. P3 0:12BOSBlake WheelerAssists: Byron Bitz, Marc Savard · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–1

Shootout

  1. 1. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
  2. 2. NJD Patrik Elias stopped
  3. 3. BOS Blake Wheeler scored
  4. 4. NJD Zach Parise scored
  5. 5. BOS David Krejci stopped
  6. 6. NJD Jamie Langenbrunner scored
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 8:11NJDMark Fraser: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 13:11BOSVladimir Sobotka: Interference2 min
  3. P2 10:52NJDAndrew Peters: Fighting5 min
  4. P2 10:52BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
  5. P2 11:46NJDJamie Langenbrunner: Roughing2 min
  6. P2 13:30BOSZdeno Chara: Slashing2 min
  7. P2 16:39BOSDerek Morris: Slashing2 min
  8. P2 17:13NJDBrian Rolston: Slashing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NJD00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0BOS
43% to win57% to win
← NJD attackBOS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Elias won the faceoff against Savard
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NJDBOS
37Shots on goal33
2.9Expected goals1.8
52Shot attempts58
25Faceoffs won39
3Power plays3
11Penalty minutes11
26Hits38
17Blocked shots7
3Giveaways7
3Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

BOS 1.8 xGNJD 2.9 xG
0123P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

BOSNJD

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.

Excitement 36/100 · #787 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.25 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
NJD 100%5050%50BOS 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +25 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 72% of the time.

BOS winsNJD wins

Simulated goal difference (BOS − NJD), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).