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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 28, 2009·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Chicago Blackhawks 1, Los Angeles Kings 2 (SO)

Away

Chicago Blackhawks

1

Final

Shootout

Home

Los Angeles Kings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.

LAK winsCHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
CHI07011112030133
LAK0411006022222

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 2:41LAKWayne SimmondsAssists: Michal Handzus, Scott Parse · Backhand, 0.19 xG0–1
  2. P3 6:56CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.49 xG1–1

Shootout

  1. 1. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
  2. 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
  3. 3. LAK Jack Johnson scored
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 16:49LAKMichal Handzus: Hooking2 min
  2. P2 4:57CHIDustin Byfuglien: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  3. P2 7:47CHIBrian Campbell: Tripping2 min
  4. P2 19:25CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Roughing2 min
  5. P3 6:41LAKMichal Handzus: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
  6. P3 9:02LAKScott Parse: Interference2 min
  7. OT 3:58LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
43% to win57% to win
← CHI attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Kopitar
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CHILAK
33Shots on goal22
2.8Expected goals2.0
50Shot attempts51
24Faceoffs won34
4Power plays3
6Penalty minutes8
25Hits41
17Blocked shots9
10Giveaways13
3Takeaways5

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 2.0 xGCHI 2.8 xG
-0.500.511.522.53P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKCHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 38/100 · #767 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.30 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 49% (winner's lowest chance)
CHI 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +27 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 64% of the time.

LAK winsCHI wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − CHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).