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Ice Lab

Sun, Nov 29, 2009·Honda Center, Anaheim

Phoenix Coyotes 3, Anaheim Ducks 2 (OT)

Away

Phoenix Coyotes

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Anaheim Ducks

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 57% of the time.

ANA winsPHX wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
PHX0100421111326
ANA071911101228

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 5:12ANARyan GetzlafPPAssists: Teemu Selanne, Scott Niedermayer · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
  2. P3 5:28PHXJim VandermeerAssists: Robert Lang, Mikkel Boedker · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–1
  3. P3 10:07PHXMatthew LombardiAssists: Sami Lepisto, Scottie Upshall · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–1
  4. P3 18:06ANABobby RyanAssists: Nick Boynton, Corey Perry · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–2
  5. OT 1:18PHXJim VandermeerGWGAssists: Robert Lang · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
Penalties (9)
  1. P1 5:25PHXVernon Fiddler: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 14:49ANATodd Marchant: High sticking2 min
  3. P1 15:53ANAScott Niedermayer: Cross checking2 min
  4. P1 15:53PHXMartin Hanzal: Cross checking2 min
  5. P2 4:51PHXSami Lepisto: Hooking2 min · PPG
  6. P2 13:57ANAEvgeny Artyukhin: Interference2 min
  7. P2 16:13PHXLauri Korpikoski: Hooking2 min
  8. P2 18:52ANACorey Perry: Tripping2 min
  9. P3 13:38ANATeemu Selanne: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

PHX00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0ANA
43% to win57% to win
← PHX attackANA attack →
  1. P1 20:00Lombardi won the faceoff against Koivu
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

PHXANA
26Shots on goal28
3.0Expected goals2.6
54Shot attempts46
29Faceoffs won29
4Power plays3
8Penalty minutes10
17Hits31
7Blocked shots15
5Giveaways9
3Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

ANA 2.6 xGPHX 3.0 xG
0123P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

ANAPHX

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.

Excitement 78/100 · #239 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.09 · 5 goals in reachComeback index 21% (winner's lowest chance)
PHX 100%5050%50ANA 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +43 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 57% of the time.

ANA winsPHX wins

Simulated goal difference (ANA − PHX), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).