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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 1, 2009·United Center, Chicago

Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (SO)

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.

CHI winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
CBJ0102417021323
CHI1511016051426

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 13:58CHIKris VersteegSHAssists: John Madden · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
  2. P2 8:09CBJAntoine VermetteAssists: R.J. Umberger, Kris Russell · Snap, 0.62 xG1–1
  3. P2 14:15CBJSamuel PahlssonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–1
  4. P2 17:37CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Marian Hossa, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–2
  5. P3 0:40CBJKris RussellAssists: R.J. Umberger, Antoine Vermette · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
  6. P3 4:43CHIDuncan KeithPPAssists: Marian Hossa, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–3

Shootout

  1. 1. CBJ Kristian Huselius stopped
  2. 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
  3. 3. CBJ Rick Nash stopped
  4. 4. CHI Marian Hossa scored
  5. 5. CBJ Jakub Voracek scored
  6. 6. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
  7. 7. CBJ Derick Brassard stopped
  8. 8. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
  9. 9. CBJ Antoine Vermette stopped
  10. 10. CHI Kris Versteeg stopped
  11. 11. CBJ Fedor Tyutin stopped
  12. 12. CHI Andrew Ladd stopped
  13. 13. CBJ R.J. Umberger stopped
  14. 14. CHI Troy Brouwer stopped
  15. 15. CBJ Raffi Torres stopped
  16. 16. CHI Tomas Kopecky stopped
  17. 17. CBJ Samuel Pahlsson stopped
  18. 18. CHI Dustin Byfuglien stopped
  19. 19. CBJ Kris Russell stopped
  20. 20. CHI John Madden stopped
  21. 21. CBJ Jason Chimera stopped
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 3:30CHIBrent Sopel: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  2. P1 13:01CHITroy Brouwer: Interference2 min
  3. P1 18:21CBJAnton Stralman: Interference2 min
  4. P2 9:01CBJAnton Stralman: Tripping2 min
  5. P2 16:51CBJAnton Stralman: Interference2 min · PPG
  6. P3 4:26CBJFedor Tyutin: High sticking2 min · PPG
  7. P3 11:53CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Madden won the faceoff against Vermette
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJCHI
23Shots on goal26
2.2Expected goals1.7
43Shot attempts54
20Faceoffs won34
3Power plays4
8Penalty minutes6
20Hits26
16Blocked shots17
3Giveaways4
1Takeaways7

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 1.7 xGCBJ 2.2 xG
00.511.52P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHICBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 83/100 · #182 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.21 · 6 goals in reachComeback index 25% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +26 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 60% of the time.

CHI winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).