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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 1, 2009·Honda Center, Anaheim

Los Angeles Kings 4, Anaheim Ducks 3

Away

Los Angeles Kings

4

Final

Home

Anaheim Ducks

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.

ANA winsLAK wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
LAK216114112442
ANA11316111330

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 5:11LAKScott ParseAssists: Wayne Simmonds, Sean O'Donnell · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–0
  2. P1 11:33LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Jarret Stoll, Dustin Brown · Tip-in, 0.18 xG2–0
  3. P1 14:41ANACorey PerryAssists: James Wisniewski, Ryan Getzlaf · Tip-in, 0.17 xG2–1
  4. P2 6:40LAKRandy JonesAssists: Brad Richardson, Jack Johnson · Slap, 0.03 xG3–1
  5. P2 17:28ANARyan WhitneyPPAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Corey Perry · Slap, 0.02 xG3–2
  6. P3 5:29ANATodd MarchantAssists: Matt Beleskey, Steve Eminger · Slap, 0.27 xG3–3
  7. P3 17:40LAKBrad RichardsonGWGAssists: Jack Johnson, Randy Jones · Tip-in, 0.15 xG4–3
Penalties (11)
  1. P1 1:12ANAEvgeny Artyukhin: Slashing2 min
  2. P1 6:40ANAGeorge Parros: Fighting5 min · PPG
  3. P1 6:40LAKRaitis Ivanans: Fighting5 min
  4. P1 10:41ANAEvgeny Artyukhin: Holding2 min
  5. P1 14:56ANAPetteri Nokelainen: Tripping2 min
  6. P1 19:44LAKJack Johnson: Interference2 min
  7. P2 4:11ANARyan Whitney: Holding2 min
  8. P2 15:25LAKBrad Richardson: High sticking2 min
  9. P2 17:11LAKWayne Simmonds: Roughing2 min · PPG
  10. P3 9:59ANAEvgeny Artyukhin: Tripping2 min
  11. P3 18:25LAKJack Johnson: Cross checking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

LAK00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0ANA
43% to win57% to win
← LAK attackANA attack →
  1. P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Getzlaf
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

LAKANA
42Shots on goal30
3.4Expected goals2.8
64Shot attempts43
29Faceoffs won22
5Power plays4
13Penalty minutes15
24Hits38
6Blocked shots9
1Giveaways13
4Takeaways6

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

ANA 2.8 xGLAK 3.4 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

ANALAK

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.

Excitement 84/100 · #166 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.05 · 7 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 42% (winner's lowest chance)
LAK 100%5050%50ANA 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +42 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.

ANA winsLAK wins

Simulated goal difference (ANA − LAK), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).