Sat, Dec 12, 2009·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Dallas Stars 2, Los Angeles Kings 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 111 | 14 | 07 | 05 | 0 | 227 |
| LAK | 09 | 213 | 03 | 02 | 1 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:22DALJames NealAssists: Brad Richards, Loui Eriksson · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 4:12LAKAlex FrolovAssists: Justin Williams · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P2 7:07DALMike ModanoAssists: Jere Lehtinen · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 19:52LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Sean O'Donnell, Brad Richardson · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 2. DAL Brad Richards stopped
- 3. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
- 4. DAL James Neal stopped
- 5. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 6. DAL Matt Niskanen stopped
- 7. LAK Michal Handzus scored
- 8. DAL Mike Ribeiro stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:59LAKOscar Moller: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 6:18DALJames Neal: Interference2 min
- P1 17:08LAKMichal Handzus: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 10:09LAKJarret Stoll: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:43DALBrenden Morrow: High sticking2 min
- P3 2:58LAKRaitis Ivanans: Holding2 min
- P3 19:45LAKMatt Greene: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:45DALJames Neal: Diving2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Modano won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DAL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).