Mon, Dec 14, 2009·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Florida Panthers 7, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 110 | 210 | 46 | 726 |
| NYI | 09 | 19 | 013 | 131 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:28FLAMichal RepikUnassisted · Backhand, 0.18 xG1–0
- P2 2:53FLANathan HortonGWGAssists: Michael Frolik, Stephen Weiss · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 4:17NYIJesse JoensuuAssists: Trent Hunter, Rob Schremp · Snap, 0.60 xG2–1
- P2 12:40FLANathan HortonSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.22 xG3–1
- P3 0:13FLAStephen WeissAssists: Nathan Horton · Wrist, 0.20 xG4–1
- P3 0:55FLAKamil KrepsAssists: Dominic Moore, Michal Repik · Wrist, 0.28 xG5–1
- P3 6:45FLARadek DvorakPPAssists: Rostislav Olesz, Dennis Seidenberg · Backhand, 0.05 xG6–1
- P3 14:18FLANathan HortonPPAssists: Bryan McCabe, Dmitry Kulikov · Wrist, 0.06 xG7–1
Penalties (5)
- P2 11:11FLABryan Allen: Cross checking2 min
- P3 5:34NYIBlake Comeau: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 5:34NYIJon Sim: Misconduct10 min
- P3 10:53FLABryan McCabe: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 13:26NYITrent Hunter: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Reinprecht won the faceoff against Thompson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).