Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 17, 2009·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Anaheim Ducks 1, San Jose Sharks 4

Away

Anaheim Ducks

1

Final

Home

San Jose Sharks

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 83% of the time.

SJS winsANA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
ANA090616121
SJS01821128437

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 9:15SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Patrick Marleau, Devin Setoguchi · Slap, 0.15 xG0–1
  2. P2 15:25SJSPatrick MarleauGWGAssists: Douglas Murray, Joe Thornton · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–2
  3. P3 0:34ANARyan GetzlafPPAssists: Bobby Ryan, Scott Niedermayer · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
  4. P3 13:23SJSJoe ThorntonPPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Dan Boyle · Backhand, 0.39 xG1–3
  5. P3 16:11SJSDevin SetoguchiAssists: Joe Thornton, Patrick Marleau · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–4
Penalties (13)
  1. P1 9:13SJSJed Ortmeyer: Boarding2 min
  2. P1 10:03ANAScott Niedermayer: Interference2 min
  3. P1 11:34SJSJoe Pavelski: Hooking2 min
  4. P1 18:14ANAScott Niedermayer: High sticking2 min
  5. P2 16:22ANASheldon Brookbank: Fighting5 min
  6. P2 16:22SJSRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min · PPG
  7. P2 19:05SJSDany Heatley: High sticking2 min
  8. P2 19:05ANAJames Wisniewski: Roughing2 min
  9. P2 19:05SJSDany Heatley: Roughing2 min
  10. P3 7:57SJSJed Ortmeyer: Tripping2 min
  11. P3 8:20ANARyan Whitney: Roughing2 min
  12. P3 9:11ANASaku Koivu: Tripping2 min
  13. P3 12:47ANASaku Koivu: Hooking2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

ANA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0SJS
43% to win57% to win
← ANA attackSJS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Thornton
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

ANASJS
21Shots on goal37
1.6Expected goals3.6
48Shot attempts67
30Faceoffs won35
4Power plays5
17Penalty minutes15
39Hits31
16Blocked shots15
12Giveaways13
7Takeaways11

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

SJS 3.6 xGANA 1.6 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

SJSANA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 28/100 · #890 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.96 · 5 goals in reachComeback index 54% (winner's lowest chance)
ANA 100%5050%50SJS 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +20 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 83% of the time.

SJS winsANA wins

Simulated goal difference (SJS − ANA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).