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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 18, 2009·United Center, Chicago

Boston Bruins 4, Chicago Blackhawks 5 (SO)

Away

Boston Bruins

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.

CHI winsBOS wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
BOS1131627030429
CHI011313117032544

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 9:22BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Blake Wheeler, Derek Morris · Slap, 0.31 xG1–0
  2. P2 1:55CHIKris VersteegUnassisted · Slap, 0.27 xG1–1
  3. P2 8:22CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Brent Seabrook, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.26 xG1–2
  4. P2 16:32BOSDaniel PailleAssists: Mark Recchi · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
  5. P2 19:33CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Troy Brouwer, Patrick Kane · Backhand, 0.36 xG2–3
  6. P3 6:01BOSJohnny BoychukAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Daniel Paille · Slap, 0.03 xG3–3
  7. P3 7:41CHIAndrew LaddAssists: Brian Campbell, Jordan Hendry · Tip-in, 0.19 xG3–4
  8. P3 17:17BOSDavid KrejciAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Mark Recchi · Wrist, 0.26 xG4–4

Shootout

  1. 1. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
  2. 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
  3. 3. BOS Blake Wheeler stopped
  4. 4. CHI Patrick Kane scored
Penalties (3)
  1. P2 3:56BOSVladimir Sobotka: Hooking2 min
  2. P2 16:37CHIMarian Hossa: Tripping2 min
  3. P3 11:29BOSSteve Begin: Interference2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

BOS00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← BOS attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Sharp won the faceoff against Bergeron
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

BOSCHI
29Shots on goal44
2.3Expected goals3.7
50Shot attempts65
31Faceoffs won28
1Power plays2
4Penalty minutes2
20Hits32
9Blocked shots12
3Giveaways5
9Takeaways7

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 3.7 xGBOS 2.3 xG
01234P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHIBOS

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.

Excitement 96/100 · #34 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.81 · 8 goals in reachComeback index 35% (winner's lowest chance)
BOS 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +40 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.

CHI winsBOS wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − BOS), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).