Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 23, 2009·Madison Square Garden, New York

Florida Panthers 1, New York Rangers 4

Away

Florida Panthers

1

Final

Home

New York Rangers

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.

NYR winsFLA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
FLA11001509134
NYR1911429432

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 4:09FLAVictor OreskovichAssists: Dominic Moore, Gregory Campbell · Snap, 0.39 xG1–0
  2. P1 6:22NYRChris DruryAssists: Enver Lisin, Sean Avery · Slap, 0.07 xG1–1
  3. P2 4:55NYRVinny ProspalPPGWGAssists: Ryan Callahan, Marian Gaborik · Wrist, 0.48 xG1–2
  4. P3 0:23NYRVinny ProspalAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Marc Staal · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–3
  5. P3 11:14NYRMarian GaborikSHAssists: Chris Drury · Backhand, 0.06 xG1–4
Penalties (12)
  1. P1 7:36NYRMarian Gaborik: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 11:30FLAMike Duco: Tripping2 min
  3. P1 15:19NYRMarian Gaborik: Slashing2 min
  4. P2 4:08FLAGregory Campbell: Charging2 min · PPG
  5. P2 7:45FLAKeith Ballard: Tripping2 min
  6. P3 2:51NYRDan Girardi: Hooking2 min
  7. P3 3:12FLABryan McCabe: Hooking2 min
  8. P3 9:44NYRDan Girardi: Tripping2 min
  9. P3 9:44NYRSean Avery: Roughing2 min
  10. P3 9:44FLADominic Moore: Roughing2 min
  11. P3 15:43FLABryan McCabe: Roughing2 min
  12. P3 15:43NYRSean Avery: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

FLA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NYR
43% to win57% to win
← FLA attackNYR attack →
  1. P1 20:00Reinprecht won the faceoff against Anisimov
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

FLANYR
34Shots on goal32
3.6Expected goals5.3
60Shot attempts75
33Faceoffs won26
4Power plays4
12Penalty minutes12
22Hits24
27Blocked shots20
1Giveaways7
11Takeaways7

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NYR 5.3 xGFLA 3.6 xG
0123456P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NYRFLA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 28/100 · #892 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.95 · 5 goals in reachComeback index 41% (winner's lowest chance)
FLA 100%5050%50NYR 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +17 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 73% of the time.

NYR winsFLA wins

Simulated goal difference (NYR − FLA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).