Sat, Dec 26, 2009·Madison Square Garden, New York
New York Islanders 3, New York Rangers 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 15 | 19 | 05 | 13 | 322 |
| NYR | 05 | 015 | 215 | 03 | 238 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:45NYIFrans NielsenAssists: Kyle Okposo, Josh Bailey · Tip-in, 0.21 xG1–0
- P2 14:21NYIBlake ComeauSHAssists: Kyle Okposo, Bruno Gervais · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–0
- P3 6:07NYRBrandon DubinskyAssists: Chris Drury, Michal Rozsival · Backhand, 0.30 xG2–1
- P3 19:13NYRBrandon DubinskyAssists: Ryan Callahan, Michal Rozsival · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–2
- OT 4:13NYIKyle OkposoGWGAssists: Frans Nielsen, Mark Streit · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–2
Penalties (10)
- P1 2:28NYIBruno Gervais: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:28NYRSean Avery: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P1 2:28NYRSean Avery: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:00NYIJon Sim: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 12:00NYRBrian Boyle: Delaying game2 min
- P1 17:44NYRSean Avery: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 13:17NYIBrendan Witt: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:53NYRDonald Brashear: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 4:02NYIBlake Comeau: Boarding2 min
- P3 16:43NYIMatt Moulson: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Park
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).