Sun, Dec 27, 2009·Pengrowth Saddledome, Calgary
Vancouver Canucks 5, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 413 | 111 | 05 | 529 |
| CGY | 16 | 013 | 011 | 130 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:15CGYJarome IginlaAssists: Jay Bouwmeester, Craig Conroy · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 8:31VANHenrik SedinAssists: Willie Mitchell, Daniel Sedin · Slap, 0.09 xG1–1
- P1 9:05VANKyle WellwoodGWGAssists: Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P1 18:16VANMason RaymondAssists: Mikael Samuelsson, Ryan Kesler · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–1
- P1 18:50VANMason RaymondUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–1
- P2 12:31VANMason RaymondPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Christian Ehrhoff · Snap, 0.21 xG5–1
Penalties (20)
- P1 0:32VANChristian Ehrhoff: Hooking2 min
- P1 4:00CGYJay Bouwmeester: Cross checking2 min
- P1 8:07CGYJay Bouwmeester: Cross checking2 min
- P1 8:07VANMikael Samuelsson: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:28CGYEric Nystrom: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:28VANChristian Ehrhoff: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:14CGYRene Bourque: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:41CGYOlli Jokinen: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 13:21VANKevin Bieksa: Boarding2 min
- P2 13:21VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:21CGYEric Nystrom: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:28VANTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:28CGYBrandon Prust: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:28VANTanner Glass: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 18:24CGYCurtis Glencross: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:08VANAlexandre Burrows: Interference2 min
- P3 7:07CGYBrian McGrattan: High sticking2 min
- P3 7:07CGYBrian McGrattan: Cross checking2 min
- P3 13:09VANAlexander Edler: Hooking2 min
- P3 16:42CGYRene Bourque: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nystrom won the faceoff against Wellwood
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CGY's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CGY is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CGY − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).