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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 28, 2009·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Detroit Red Wings 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 1 (OT)

Away

Detroit Red Wings

0

Final

Overtime

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 65% of the time.

CBJ winsDET wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
DET0601601002034
CBJ01001601014140

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. OT 3:12CBJFreddy ModinGWGAssists: Fedor Tyutin, Samuel Pahlsson · Backhand, 0.19 xG0–1
Penalties (13)
  1. P1 4:17DETValtteri Filppula: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 7:14DETPavel Datsyuk: Cross checking2 min
  3. P1 7:14CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min
  4. P1 8:19CBJMike Commodore: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  5. P1 14:17DETBrad May: Fighting5 min
  6. P1 14:17CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
  7. P2 0:44CBJRick Nash: Cross checking2 min
  8. P2 6:50DETDoug Janik: Fighting5 min
  9. P2 6:50CBJAlexandre Picard: Fighting5 min
  10. P2 8:22CBJFreddy Modin: Tripping2 min
  11. P2 9:39CBJJan Hejda: Boarding2 min
  12. P2 14:11DETKirk Maltby: Hooking2 min
  13. P3 12:50DETTodd Bertuzzi: Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

DET00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CBJ
43% to win57% to win
← DET attackCBJ attack →
  1. P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Datsyuk
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

DETCBJ
34Shots on goal40
2.8Expected goals3.6
64Shot attempts51
32Faceoffs won32
4Power plays3
18Penalty minutes20
13Hits39
8Blocked shots19
1Giveaways3
7Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CBJ 3.6 xGDET 2.8 xG
01234P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CBJDET

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.

Excitement 11/100 · #1085 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.89 · 1 goal in reachComeback index 50% (winner's lowest chance)
DET 100%5050%50CBJ 100%P1P2P3OTEnd

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 65% of the time.

CBJ winsDET wins

Simulated goal difference (CBJ − DET), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).