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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 29, 2009·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale

Vancouver Canucks 2, Phoenix Coyotes 3 (SO)

Away

Vancouver Canucks

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Phoenix Coyotes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 56% of the time.

PHX winsVAN wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
VAN0121816040230
PHX0721206001325

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 10:00PHXEd JovanovskiPPAssists: Shane Doan, Scottie Upshall · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
  2. P2 10:49VANMikael SamuelssonAssists: Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1
  3. P2 17:02PHXPetr PruchaAssists: Radim Vrbata, Martin Hanzal · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–2
  4. P3 13:48VANKyle WellwoodAssists: Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–2

Shootout

  1. 1. PHX Radim Vrbata stopped
  2. 2. VAN Kyle Wellwood stopped
  3. 3. PHX Peter Mueller stopped
  4. 4. PHX Peter Mueller stopped
  5. 5. VAN Mason Raymond stopped
  6. 6. VAN Mason Raymond stopped
  7. 7. PHX Lauri Korpikoski scored
  8. 8. VAN Mikael Samuelsson stopped
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 3:20VANDarcy Hordichuk: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  2. P1 4:05PHXScottie Upshall: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  3. P1 19:55PHXAdrian Aucoin: Interference2 min
  4. P2 8:50VANAlexandre Burrows: Slashing2 min · PPG
  5. P2 14:41VANDaniel Sedin: Tripping2 min
  6. P3 7:29VANSteve Bernier: Boarding2 min
  7. P3 10:11PHXEd Jovanovski: Interference2 min
  8. P3 19:19PHXEd Jovanovski: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

VAN00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0PHX
43% to win57% to win
← VAN attackPHX attack →
  1. P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Sedin
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

VANPHX
30Shots on goal25
1.5Expected goals1.8
54Shot attempts46
33Faceoffs won29
4Power plays4
8Penalty minutes8
22Hits28
12Blocked shots13
3Giveaways4
8Takeaways3

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

PHX 1.8 xGVAN 1.5 xG
00.511.52P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

PHXVAN

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.

Excitement 79/100 · #218 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.13 · 4 goals in reachComeback index 36% (winner's lowest chance)
VAN 100%5050%50PHX 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +34 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 56% of the time.

PHX winsVAN wins

Simulated goal difference (PHX − VAN), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).