Wed, Dec 30, 2009·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose
Washington Capitals 2, San Jose Sharks 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 03 | 011 | 212 | 226 |
| SJS | 213 | 110 | 210 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 15:30SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Dany Heatley · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–1
- P1 16:45SJSTorrey MitchellAssists: Frazer McLaren, Kent Huskins · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P2 16:37SJSRyane CloweGWGUnassisted · Backhand, 0.27 xG0–3
- P3 4:54WSHMike KnubleAssists: Jason Chimera, Tom Poti · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–3
- P3 7:12SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Jason Demers, Devin Setoguchi · Slap, 0.22 xG1–4
- P3 8:08SJSJoe ThorntonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–5
- P3 12:40WSHAlex OvechkinAssists: Nicklas Backstrom · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 12:15WSHQuintin Laing: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:54SJSPatrick Marleau: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:05SJSJed Ortmeyer: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:23SJSKent Huskins: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:15WSHJohn Erskine: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:24SJSDan Boyle: Holding2 min
- P2 18:22WSHNicklas Backstrom: Interference2 min
- P3 15:49WSHAlex Ovechkin: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:49SJSDan Boyle: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backstrom won the faceoff against Pavelski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).