Thu, Dec 31, 2009·RBC Center, Raleigh
New York Rangers 2, Carolina Hurricanes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 114 | 015 | 16 | 235 |
| CAR | 15 | 07 | 06 | 118 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:08CARJoni PitkanenPPAssists: Ray Whitney, Eric Staal · Slap, 0.45 xG0–1
- P1 17:36NYRErik ChristensenPPAssists: Marian Gaborik, Ales Kotalik · Snap, 0.45 xG1–1
- P3 11:49NYRBrandon DubinskyGWGAssists: Marian Gaborik, Erik Christensen · Backhand, 0.16 xG2–1
Penalties (11)
- P1 0:34NYRRyan Callahan: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:12CARAndrew Alberts: Roughing2 min
- P1 9:12NYRBrian Boyle: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 9:53NYRErik Christensen: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 14:15CARScott Walker: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P1 16:32CARRod Brind'Amour: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:59NYRAaron Voros: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:59CARTom Kostopoulos: Fighting5 min
- P2 17:15CARTom Kostopoulos: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:17CARMatt Cullen: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:31NYRSean Avery: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Cullen won the faceoff against Christensen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CAR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CAR is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CAR − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).