Thu, Dec 31, 2009·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Vancouver Canucks 4, St. Louis Blues 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 05 | 18 | 215 | 12 | 430 |
| STL | 112 | 26 | 07 | 00 | 325 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 16:55STLAlexander SteenPPAssists: Brad Boyes, Andy McDonald · Slap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 4:07STLKeith TkachukAssists: David Perron, Roman Polak · Tip-in, 0.07 xG0–2
- P2 14:30STLAndy McDonaldAssists: David Backes, Brad Boyes · Snap, 0.20 xG0–3
- P2 16:09VANDaniel SedinAssists: Alexandre Burrows, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 5:46VANMikael SamuelssonUnassisted · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 18:04VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–3
- OT 2:24VANChristian EhrhoffPPGWGAssists: Kyle Wellwood, Ryan Kesler · Slap, 0.04 xG4–3
Penalties (23)
- P1 3:03STLMike Weaver: High sticking2 min
- P1 8:46STLErik Johnson: Roughing2 min
- P1 12:47STLCam Janssen: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:47VANRick Rypien: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 12:47VANRick Rypien: Match penatly 10 minutes10 min
- P1 17:57STLAlexander Steen: Tripping2 min
- P2 2:28VANChristian Ehrhoff: Holding2 min
- P2 2:41STLAlexander Steen: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:55STLB.J. Crombeen: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:02VANMason Raymond: Roughing2 min
- P2 9:02STLDavid Perron: Cross checking2 min
- P2 19:29VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:29STLDavid Backes: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:29VANShane O'Brien: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:29VANShane O'Brien: Misconduct10 min
- P3 1:40STLPatrik Berglund: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:26VANWillie Mitchell: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:18STLDerek Armstrong: Cross checking2 min
- P3 8:18VANTanner Glass: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:01STLT.J. Oshie: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:56STLAndy McDonald: Slashing2 min
- P3 15:56VANChristian Ehrhoff: Slashing2 min
- OT 0:19STLBrad Boyes: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against McClement
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).