Sat, Jan 2, 2010·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Chicago Blackhawks 6, St. Louis Blues 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 213 | 213 | 27 | 633 |
| STL | 29 | 05 | 18 | 322 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:10CHITomas KopeckyAssists: Brent Seabrook, Colin Fraser · Deflected, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 5:16STLEric BrewerAssists: David Backes, Ty Conklin · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 6:51CHITomas KopeckyAssists: Ben Eager, Colin Fraser · Snap, 0.03 xG2–1
- P1 16:05STLAndy McDonaldAssists: David Backes, Erik Johnson · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–2
- P2 3:15CHIBrian CampbellAssists: Patrick Kane, Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.08 xG3–2
- P2 18:42CHIKris VersteegGWGAssists: Dustin Byfuglien · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–2
- P3 1:39CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Marian Hossa, Brent Sopel · Wrist, 0.04 xG5–2
- P3 3:42CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Brent Seabrook · Backhand, 0.11 xG6–2
- P3 17:52STLKeith TkachukPPAssists: T.J. Oshie, David Perron · Deflected, 0.20 xG6–3
Penalties (24)
- P1 9:56STLB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:56CHIBen Eager: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:00CHICam Barker: Instigator2 min
- P1 13:00CHICam Barker: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:00CHICam Barker: Misconduct10 min
- P1 13:00CHICam Barker: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 14:10STLT.J. Oshie: Clipping2 min
- P1 16:50CHITroy Brouwer: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:44CHIJonathan Toews: Fighting5 min
- P2 0:44STLDavid Backes: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:48STLDavid Perron: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:48CHIKris Versteeg: Roughing2 min
- P2 5:26STLBrad Boyes: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:30STLKeith Tkachuk: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:58CHIDuncan Keith: Cross checking2 min
- P3 1:49STLCarlo Colaiacovo: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 1:49CHIColin Fraser: Fighting5 min
- P3 1:49STLCam Janssen: Charging2 min
- P3 12:52STLErik Johnson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 16:27STLCam Janssen: Misconduct10 min
- P3 16:27STLBarret Jackman: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:27STLCam Janssen: Elbowing2 min
- P3 16:27CHIBen Eager: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P3 16:27CHIBen Eager: Match penatly 10 minutes10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Backes won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).