Sat, Jan 2, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
New Jersey Devils 5, Minnesota Wild 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 06 | 38 | 212 | 526 |
| MIN | 011 | 29 | 112 | 332 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:13NJDDean McAmmondAssists: Patrik Elias · Backhand, 0.12 xG1–0
- P2 6:57NJDJamie LangenbrunnerPPAssists: Patrik Elias, Vladimir Zharkov · Snap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P2 9:08MINEric BelangerAssists: Marek Zidlicky, Martin Havlat · Tip-in, 0.21 xG2–1
- P2 19:22MINMikko KoivuSHAssists: Antti Miettinen, Nick Schultz · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
- P2 19:56NJDJamie LangenbrunnerPPAssists: Mike Mottau · Backhand, 0.10 xG3–2
- P3 11:35NJDJay PandolfoGWGAssists: Rob Niedermayer, Patrik Elias · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–2
- P3 16:09MINAndrew BrunetteAssists: Marek Zidlicky, Mikko Koivu · Deflected, 0.12 xG4–3
- P3 19:43NJDJamie LangenbrunnerENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.73 xG5–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 10:41NJDMatthew Corrente: Interference2 min
- P2 5:37MINEric Belanger: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 7:18MINNick Schultz: Holding2 min
- P2 8:14NJDAndy Greene: Interference2 min
- P2 18:01MINMarek Zidlicky: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Niedermayer
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).